Exchange Rates and Commodity Markets: Global Exports of Corn, Cotton, Poultry, and Soybeans

Abdul Almarwani, Curtis Jolly and Henry Thompson

Abstract

The effects of exchange rates and risk on major commodity exporters are examined in markets constructed from the top five importers and top three exporters from 1961 to 2000. Depreciation typically stimulates exports but the impacts vary considerably. Exchange risk has virtually no negative impacts. Importer incomes raise exports for about half the exporters, and major competitor market shares affect about half the exporters.

Key Words: Exchange rates, commodity exports, market shares